college football picks

The Trouble with Sports Monitors tried so desperately to be monitored by an independent, third party “sports monitor.” A sports monitor is supposed to provide objective tracking of a handicapping service’s selections (picks). The idea behind sports monitoring is for handicapping services to be able to point to a third party to “prove” their results are what they claim they are. (Too many handicapping services just state their record without anyone knowing if those records are, in fact, accurate or truthful.)

Just as there are dishonest handicapping services, there are dishonest sports monitoring services. Some are actually owned by handicappers who do, in fact, monitor other handicappers, but ‘accentuate’ their own handicapping records and those of their friends. Another form of dishonest sports monitoring is taking extra money (a bribe) to alter handicapping records for those willing to pay. How would any visitor to these websites know the difference between the honest and the dishonest?

While our experience at with sports monitors has not necessarily been plagued by dishonest monitoring, it has been rendered impossible based on our service requirements.

The explanation:

Our clients know that the public betting crowd loves to bet on favorites (for side bets) and ‘overs’ (for total bets). What that means, as a general rule, is the favorite becomes more of a favorite throughout week, from the time the odds are released (the opening line) to kickoff time (the closing line). For example, Cincinnati might open as a 2-point favorite (Cincinnati -2) over Pittsburgh, and close as a 3 ½-point favorite (Cincinnati -3.5). The same holds true for betting the over on a total bet. The total on that same game might open at 54 and close at 56.5.

Knowing those general rules about side and total bets should help bettors decide when to place their wagers. If the favorite side is the betting choice, then bet it early. (Get Cincinnati at -2.) If the underdog side is the betting choice then bet it late. (Get Pittsburgh at +3.5.) If the over is the betting choice, then bet it early. (Get the over at 54.) If the under is the betting choice, then bet it late. (Get the under at 56.5.) Again, these are general rules, but they underscore the importance of knowing when to place your wager. It also speaks to the importance of shopping (around different sportsbooks) to get the best betting line to suit your wager.

The timing of the wager with the real-life example described above (played on November 5, 2011) made all the difference in the wager’s outcome. We recommended taking Cincinnati at -2.5. The final score was Cincinnati 26, Pittsburgh 23. An early bet on Cincinnati (at something better than -3) would have won. A late bet on Pittsburgh (at something better than +3) also would have won.

At in 2011, we released our wagering recommendations on Sundays (6 days before Saturday kickoff times) within 90 minutes of the release of the earliest, opening betting lines. We gave very specific wagering advice. For example, “…if you cannot get the line below Wisconsin -26.5, then pass on this game.”

NO MONITORING SERVICE IS WILLING TO TRACK THE LINES THROUGHOUT THE WEEK TO DETERMINE IF OUR BETTING REQUIREMENTS HAVE BEEN MET. If you know of any sports monitoring service that would meet our needs, please email us immediately at:

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